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Assessments
July 2022
In July, maize (main) and sorghum were in early or advanced growth; rice (main) planting was concluded under mixed conditions. RAINFALL, in the first dekad show well above average accumulation in eastern Honduras as result of the remnants of tropical storm Bonnie that left excess rainfall in that area. Contrary the Western and and parts of central Honduras have felt the effects of the characteristics canicula receiving below average rainfall in the same dekad and which persisted for the second dekad affecting a smaller proportion of the same areas. This and prior dry period at the end of June left parts if Western and Central-North Honduras with below average 30 day accumulation. SPI1 shows that until the second dekad of July 95% of cropland had normal monthly rainfall accumulation and 2% had below normal monthly accumulation. WSI indicates that during the 1st and 2nd dekad of July water for crop requirements was excessive or above average in most of the country's croplands (66%) and normal in 34%. VEGETATION STATUS (zNDVIc) is normal in 45-48% of croplands, above normal in 46-50%, and below average in 5%. Poor vegetation in croplands was detected in Cortes (13%), Copan (12%), Santa Barbara (9%), Yoro (4%),and Olancho (2.2%). TEMPERATURE daily averages were around the average for the season across the country. CONDITIONS for agriculture activities in this period have been mixed as excessive rains brought by tropical storm Bonnie in Eastern Honduras. In other areas where rainfall was deficient maize and sorghum were affected in early or advanced growth and planting of rice could be delayed as well as maize planted by large scale producers in parts of Olancho. However no major detrimental effects are expected given the prior good conditions and expectations of improving rainfall. RAINFALL FORECAST from Copernicus C3S multi-system for the ensemble mean anomaly for upcoming ASO period shows above average rainfall conditions in the upcoming period which could help areas that received less water in July to replenish moisture in soils. No NATURAL DISASTER were reported July as tropical storm Bonnie brought only excess rainfall in Eastern Honduras but did not cause major problems. OTHER SHOCKS continue to be economic, as high food inflation had continue to escalate basic grain prices and deteriorate food security (FEWS NET, July 2022). Prices of white maize continued to seasonally increase in June, and were on average over 70 percent higher than last year as a result from high production and transportation costs, exacerbated by crop losses in the southeastern producing region in 2021 due to reduced and erratic precipitation (FAO-FPMA, July 2022). FOOD SECURITY As the rural population faced the 3rd month of the lean season, food insecurity typically worsened in this period. IPC analysis from January, expected deterioration in all departments and a total of 2.6 million people in IPC Phase 3 (Crisis) or worse (IPC-HN, January 2022). However, this figure does not take into account the effects of recent high prices of food and energy. Food security has continued to deteriorate as prices of basic grains keep a constant increase, limiting poor households' purchasing power. Maize and bean prices have continued to increase until June and are above the last year and the 5 year average (FEWS NET, July 2022). Food insecurity has worsened according to a recent IPC analysis update of acute food insecurity for the period June to August 2022, which includes four micro-regions of the Trifinio Region: Cayaguanca, Ch’orti’, Güija and Ocotepeque. Results indicate an increase of the population estimates, but the classifications are maintained. The Ocotepeque micro-region in Honduras includes 1% of the population in Emergency conditions (IPC Phase 4) and 15% in Crisis (IPC Phase 3), which represents 1,260 and 18,902 people who require immediate attention (IPC TWG July, 2022).
Assessment archive
Country Summary
Statistics
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Agricultural cover

Number of administrative units classified as Warning (%)

Warnings and indicator graphs
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WI_graph1
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WI_graph2
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WI_graph3
Indicator temporal profile (ASAP units level 1)
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ASAP1 Units
Indicator maps
Main indicators at dekad
Last 6 dekads for indicator
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Ancillary Information
Overview maps
Phenology
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Season progress
Dekad
Agricultural area
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Warning frequency map
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ASAP units
Crop calendar and Production
Selection of FAO crop calendars matching with ASAP phenology
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Agriculture statistics: ten crop with largest area
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Agriculture statistics: ten crop with largest production
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Share of national cereal production by subnational units
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